Author: Patryk Grosicki
Publication date: 13.11.2023
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Unexpected shock in Middle East
For the first time in 40 years, Israel witnessed an unexpected attack on a big scale from
Hamas on Sunday, October 8th. Thousands of rockets have been released from the Gaza Strip causing chaos and fear in Israel. Is it possible that the most recent attack has sent the global economy into a tailspin, causing disruptions in financial markets and supply chains?
Do some stock markets have to worry?
The main result was that it is worthwhile to compile news and projections from several perspectives. In fact, it enables you to determine whether there is anything to be concerned about, or whether this dispute is seen as casual by markets. Therefore, the point of the article is to acquaint you with actual news, analytics predictions and stock outcomes.
So, there’s dust going up, and now the dust is coming back down
On Monday, CNBC published a report on the leading index condition in the United States. Investors may have not noticed any sign of bearish moves among markets. The S&P 500 climbed 0.63%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went up 0.59% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.39%. According to analytics, the market has already digested the fallout from the weekend turmoil. For example, the price of natural gas and oil has risen in response to rising crude futures. Defense stocks have also increased.
Winners and losers
As the epicenter of the ongoing crisis on Israeli land, most local stock market players have fallen in recent days. On Monday's stock market, downtrends met Mobileye Global (-5%), Tower Semiconductor (-5.14), and Check Point Security (-1.77%). Airlines also fell due to concerns about rising fuel prices. On the other hand, while commodity stocks met pikes, energy and defense stocks rose on both sides of the Atlantic. The price shares of cruise companies also slumped on stock markets.
Predictions of stock market based on the war between Israel and Palestine
Uncertainty
There are numerous viewpoints in the public realm, but the majority of them agree that the situation's progress can halt or create uncertainty. If military disruptions end soon, markets should be quickly restored to prewar levels. However, if the battle grows, expanding in scope and number of players, it could have disastrous economic effects. Iran is actively supporting Hamas while also being a major energy supplier and regional role.
Cease peace talk?
Furthermore, the protracted confrontation has stymied Saudi Arabia-Israel talks, which are critical for long-term peace and stability in the region. According to the analytics, the most likely possibilities included either short-term or long-term conflict. The markets should be promptly restored after the first, which doesn’t have global, long-term consequences.
Nagative Impact
On the contrary, a protracted crisis could have a negative impact on the world economy, which has already been damaged by the pandemic and Russia's turnover. It could follow a wave of inflation over all continents, peaking commodity and, as a result, consumer prices.
